Dallas-buyers-clubMy picks for the Oscar winners — first the likely winner, then the possible spoiler (an * indicates what I would vote for, if someone gave me a ballot).

Watch the Oscars Sunday at 6 p.m. on ABC, with host Ellen DeGeneres.

Picture: *12 Years a Slave; Gravity.

Director: *Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity; Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave.

Actor: *Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club; Bruce Dern, Nebraska.

Actress: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine; *Judi Dench, Philomena.

Supporting Actor: *Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club; Barkhad Abdi, Capt. Phillips.

Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave; Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle (*June Squibb, Nebraska).

Original Screenplay: *Her; American Hustle.

Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave; Capt. Phillips (*Philomena).

Cinematography: *Gravity; Inside Llewyn Davis.

Film Editing: *Gravity; Capt Phillips.

Production Design: *The Great Gatsby; Her.

Costume Design: *The Great Gatsby; 12 Years a Slave.

Original Score: *Gravity; Philomena.

Original Song: *“Let It Go,” Frozen; “Ordinary Love,” Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom.

Sound Mixing: Gravity; *Inside Llewyn Davis.

Sound Editing: *Gravity; Capt. Phillips.

Visual Effects: *Gravity; The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug.

Makeup/Hairstyling: *Dallas Buyers Club.

Foreign Language Film: The Great BeautyThe Hunt (*Omar).

Animated Feature Film: Frozen; *The Wind Rises.

Documentary Feature Film: The Act of Killing; *The Square.

Live Action Short Film: *Helium; That Wasn’t Me.

Animated Short Film: *Room on the Broom; Get a Horse!

Documentary Short Film: The Lady in No. 6; Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Pvt. Jack Hall

(*Facing Fear — about a gay bashing).